Detection probabilities in the presence of speckle noise Dmitry Savransky (LLNL) Many applications of adaptive optics (AO) involve binary classification tasks (i.e., determining whether an object of interest is present in a given image) or source separation tasks (determining how much of the light in a given pixel is due to the object versus the background). Multiple approaches exist for both classes of tasks, but in order to objectively assess the performance of a detection/extraction algorithm, it is necessary to describe the sensitivity of the method, for example via a receiver operating characteristic (ROC). To do so, we must model not only the statistics of the signal and noise in the image, but also the post-processing applied to the image. In this talk, I will present modeling of the detection task in the presence of speckle noise, using ground-based exoplanet imaging with adaptive optics as a motivating example. I will show the effect of the processing model on the calculation of true and false positive rates, and briefly discuss some applications of these derivations.